Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.559904 0.732166 0.928224 1.164864 1.439754 1.746169 2.110669
2025-04-27 0.332098 0.542827 0.816677 1.184597 1.652263 2.214035 2.926787
2025-05-04 0.180872 0.384948 0.691613 1.149245 1.779908 2.586338 3.662885
2025-05-11 0.092029 0.270109 0.584498 1.104977 1.876971 2.918313 4.367321
2025-05-18 0.048673 0.204270 0.526870 1.112652 2.035898 3.334544 5.199025
2025-05-25 0.021017 0.144512 0.455158 1.077886 2.120673 3.647214 5.903105
2025-06-01 0.011118 0.121325 0.444852 1.141158 2.355929 4.181079 6.928157
2025-06-08 0.004073 0.092062 0.407520 1.145426 2.492781 4.574646 7.769338
2025-06-15 0.001898 0.082226 0.413956 1.232968 2.771213 5.188532 8.940795
2025-06-22 0.000560 0.069106 0.404915 1.285966 2.992173 5.722017 10.010703
2025-06-29 0.000055 0.054947 0.384681 1.310228 3.162099 6.181030 10.983001
2025-07-06 NaN 0.038524 0.344454 1.280778 3.230499 6.480728 11.726353
2025-07-13 NaN 0.028835 0.323334 1.293881 3.381736 6.924651 12.708246
2025-07-20 NaN 0.021263 0.304169 1.307661 3.534420 7.376233 13.714032
2025-07-27 NaN 0.012863 0.267251 1.266059 3.574869 7.644120 14.447246
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006943 0.231439 1.216841 3.593432 7.873463 15.124626
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004373 0.216266 1.224046 3.726522 8.298986 16.114061
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001982 0.189388 1.186419 3.760667 8.554279 16.841166
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001574 0.193643 1.253670 4.024626 9.215156 18.219881
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000768 0.180787 1.258079 4.150283 9.636654 19.225872
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000717 0.191790 1.351275 4.478208 10.422384 20.824683
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000485 0.192881 1.407635 4.725542 11.070212 22.212042
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000228 0.186293 1.433417 4.904507 11.600029 23.417816